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'Housing for all' to give economy Rs15-trillion boost: India Ratings

23 Jul 2015 Evaluate

Domestic rating agency India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has said that the Centre's housing for all (HFA) project is expected to give the economy Rs 15-trillion (trn) boost over the next 7 years, though it also cautioned that its success will depend on ramping up existing urban infrastructure, fast tracking approval process and targeting the actual beneficiary.

As per the study, the direct benefit of HFA to the economy is estimated to be Rs 15trn in a seven-year timeframe (FY16-FY22). Funding of the investment of Rs 15trn through public-private partnerships and ramping up the supply of raw materials for construction namely steel and cement are big challenges for the execution of the HFA scheme. Municipal services such as supplying piped water, sewerage, sanitation and municipal solid waste management are also far from being equipped to take on a project of this magnitude in the next seven years. 

The government’s scheme to provide 20 million houses in three phases over FY16-FY22 has a central grant component (Rs100,000 per slum household) going to the state government, and central assistance (Rs150,000 other households) is likely to go directly to households. Also, the central government will provide interest subvention to households at 6.5% for loans up to a 15-year tenor through two nodal agencies – Housing and Urban Development Corporation and National Housing Bank. The rating agency has also said that the government will have to find more resources to finance this, so as to adhere to its fiscal deficit target.

Ind-Ra has said that allied sectors to construction, such as cement, iron and steel, will also grow, depending on the strength of the forward and backward linkages of the construction sector with the rest of the economy. It expects the demand for cement for the scheme alone to be closer to FY15 production levels and steel demand to be higher than the production levels of bars and rods. Local bodies will face challenges in supplying piped water, sewerage, sanitation and municipal solid waste management.

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