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IEA forecast India’s fuel demand to increase by 3.8% in 2012

13 Jul 2011 Evaluate

Despite the hike in fuel prices demand for fuel is expected to increase in India in 2012, International Energy Agency (IEA) an adviser to 28 industrialized nations, in its July report has said that India’s fuel demand may rise 3.8% in 2011 led by gasoline and diesel, adding further IEA said that recent retail price hike by Asia's third largest oil consumer will not dent demand growth in the short term.

IEA in its July report had forecast India’s fuel demand to rise 132,000 barrels per days (BPD) to 3.6 million BPD in 2012 despite a likely slowdown in economic activities growth. The agency has said that India's fuel demand may rise 3.7% or 124,000 BPD in 2011 to 3.46 million BPD, unchanged from its June estimates, on expectations of strong economic growth of 8.2 %.

IEA expect India's diesel demand, which accounts for about 40 percent of the total fuel demand, to rise 5.8 % in 2011 to 1.37 million bpd this year and 5.5% next year to 1.44 million bpd. Petrol demand would rise 7.6% to 363,000 BPD in 2011 and 6.7 % 388,000 BPD in 2012.

Last month, government had raised prices of diesel, kerosene and domestic cooking gas due to increase in international prices, and in May government owned oil marketing companies had increased the prices of petrol. This increased prices is less likely to affect demand for petroleum products, the union petroleum ministry too had forecast fuel sales to increase 4.6% in the current fiscal.


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