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Good monsoon, reforms to push GDP growth to 8%: Arvind Panagariya

26 Sep 2016 Evaluate

Niti Aayog Vice-Chairman Arvind Panagariya has expressed his confidence that good monsoon, policy reforms and timely decision making at Centre will definitely push India’s growth beyond 8% mark in subsequent quarters of this fiscal. Panagariya further elaborated that “This will happen because there will be impact of reforms also (besides a good monsoon). We still have not seen (the impact of reforms). There were serious governance issues earlier. Projects were stuck. The decisions were not taken at the Centre.”

He admitted that the 7.1 per cent is a slight dampener in the first quarter, he said, “It was slightly lower than my expectations. First quarter data did not have any impact of the good monsoon this year.” He said that the impact of reforms has not seen yet, also there were serious governance issues earlier thus projects were stuck and the decisions were not taken at the Centre. He expressed confidence that Gross Domestic Product (GDP) number will be over 8% mark in subsequent quarters of this fiscal, as there will be impact of reforms with good monsoon.

India's growth rate fell to a 6 quarter low of 7.1% in April-June quarter due to subdued performance of mining, construction and farm sectors. In same quarter previous year economy expanded by 7.5%. In January-March quarter of 2016 the figure was 7.9%.

Further he said that India's foodgrain output is estimated to rise by 9% to an all-time high of 135.03 million tonnes (MT) in the kharif season (summer sown) of 2016-17 on record output of rice and pulses following bountiful rains. Foodgrain production stood at 124.01 MT in the kharif season of 2015-16 crop year (July-June). Higher output of pulses will also help soften retail prices, which have remained a sticking point. The country's overall foodgrain production had fallen to around 252 MT level in each of the previous two full crop years, including kharif and rabi due to two consecutive years of drought.

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