India Inc’s revenue to grow at 12-quarter high of 12.8% in Q1: Crisil

10 Jul 2018 Evaluate

Ahead of Q1 earnings, rating agency Crisil in its latest report has said that India Inc’s revenue in the first quarter of the current financial year is expected to grow at a 12-quarter high of 12.8%. It added that this would be the third consecutive quarter of double digit growth, but the jump in performance in the earlier two quarters could have been attributed to a low base on account of demonetisation and Goods and Service Tax (GST) implementation slump. The report is based on an analysis of 350 companies excluding those in the banking, finance, insurance and oil sectors, which comprise over 50% of the National Stock Exchange (NSE).

The report further said 15 of the 21 key sectors will report a double-digit growth for Q1FY19 and the pick-up in volumes is expected to have sustained in both consumption- and commodity-linked sectors. On the profitability front, it said the pre-tax margins will crimp by 0.20%, but the slide will be narrower than the 1-2.50% contraction seen in the past quarters.

On the sectoral front, volume growth will lead to automobiles, retail and airline services to log a revenue growth in excess of 15%. Among the commodity sectors, natural gas and cement are expected to post robust growth led by volumes, while petrochemicals and steel products would benefit from continued higher prices. It added that revenue of export linked sectors like information technology and pharma will be aided by the 4% rupee depreciation.

According to the report, automobiles, steel products and pharmaceuticals are expected to log improvement in operating margins, but the margins for airline services, cement, natural gas, sugar and telecom services will be impacted by higher commodity prices. Besides, the telecom sector, which has had a bad time since the launch of deep-pocketed Reliance Jio, is expected to continue showing signs of pricing pressures.

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