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NCAER's business confidence index declines 12.9% in July over April 2018

05 Sep 2018 Evaluate

The National Council of Applied Economic Research’s (NCAER) business confidence index (N-BCI) dropped by 12.9 percent in July 2018 over April 2018 on a quarter-on-quarter basis, due to worsening of business sentiments across various segments. It also said that the fall in the N-BCI on a year-on-year basis works out to be 15.9 percent. It noted that though the worsening of business sentiments is broad-based across the various components, the magnitude of the decline varied across sectors.

NCAER's 105th Round of the Business Expectations Survey (BES) has stated that the consumer goods sectors (including both durables and non-durables) showed modest drops as against to the other sectors. It also said that the BCIs of the capital goods and services sectors declined by as much as 18 percent and 15.8 percent, respectively. Further, it said a significant deterioration across three of the regions was seen in BCI, with the North showing the maximum decline of as much as 23.6 percent.

It also stated that the magnitude of decline was also quite significant in the East and West. It indicated that the southern region held on to the April 2018 level and also continued to have the highest BCI among all regions. It pointed out that except the group comprising the smallest firms or those with turnovers of less than Rs 1 crore, which almost held on to the previous BCI, all the other groups of firms across different firm sizes showed a significant decline in business sentiments between April and July 2018.


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