BS-VI emission standards to affect auto-casting industry slightly: Crisil

09 Apr 2019 Evaluate

Ratings agency Crisil in its latest report has said that the Bharat Stage (BS) - VI emission standards will affect the auto-casting industry slightly. It also expects that the industry will grow 9-11 percent due to an expected advance sales ahead of the new regulations to be implemented from April 2020. Besides, it said that auto-casting players are putting in place a mechanism to offset reduction in internal combustion engines demand for such engines which are to be replaced by lithium ion and other such higher performing batteries. It added that the country will skip the BS-V emissions norms and transition to BS-VI norms from next April. These norms are expected to impact the whole automobile industry barring the tractor segment.

According to the report, the auto industry is set to change significantly with BS-VI emission norms and thrust on electric vehicles (EVs). It also expects the new emission norms to affect the auto-casting industry only slightly as these norms will only have a more near-term impact, while the effect of electric vehicles will be felt in the medium-to-long term. While two-wheelers will feel the brunt, it said the net value of auto-castings within this segment is expected to remain largely unchanged. It added that the proliferation of EVs poses a threat to traditional engines.

Ratings agency does not envisage significant changes in the case of cars and utility vehicles, because of the low share of diesel variants. However, it said that commercial vehicles space will see major changes in engine components and the exhaust management systems, which have a low impact on auto-casting. Besides, it warned that amid the thrust on EVs, major casted engine components such as cylinder heads, cylinder blocks, and gear housing (around 50 percent of casted components) run the risk of becoming obsolete. It noted that to deal with such a situation, the industry is working with global and original equipment manufacturers to develop motor housing, battery housing, knuckles, and turbochargers, to be used in EVs.

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