India’s GDP growth may turn positive by March or June quarter of FY22: EACPM member

03 Sep 2020 Evaluate

The Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister (EACPM) member Nilesh Shah has said that India’s Gross domestic product (GDP) growth will come into positive territory only by March or June quarter 2021, but the country will have to turn the crisis into an opportunity by introducing reforms. He attributed the surge in equity markets to the optimism they get by looking at the future and not at the data of the past.

Shah said ‘GDP will be hit by the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic for two years but stressed that we need to take advantage of the challenging situation, just the way we did in 1991 during the forex crisis which put the growth momentum in a new orbit’. He also said companies want to shift out of China and that India ought to roll out the red carpet for them and also cut the red tape. He noted that the cost of logistics, which makes Indian goods uncompetitive at the global level, has to be reduced. Besides, he said the cost of power has to go down as subsidized supply to farmers makes it expensive for the industry to get electricity.

Commenting on the surge in markets, EACPM member said while the past is about lockdowns, the future is about reforms which will change the growth orbit of India and markets are reading into the same. He pointed out that high capital flows, low oil prices, a good monsoon are among the factors which can make one hopeful about the future and added that the market is looking ahead with optimism.

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