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India Inc's business sentiment improves during July-September quarter: CII survey

21 Sep 2020 Evaluate

With the government gradually unlocking the economy and business activity resuming, the Confederation of Indian Industry’s (CII) business outlook survey showed that India Inc's business sentiment has improved during July-September quarter. The latest CII Business Confidence Index has surged to the level of 50.3 in July-September 2020, bouncing back from its lowest reading of 41.0 recorded in April-June 2020. The survey was conducted during August-September 2020 and saw participation of over 150 firms across different sectors.

As per the survey report, the stellar recovery in the index has been supported by the remarkable increase in the Expectations Index (EI), which rose 46 per cent quarter-on-quarter, to the level of 55.2, as nationwide lockdown restrictions were lifted and businesses gradually began to reopen during the July-September quarter. CII Director General Chandrajit Banerjee said while a recovery is underway, it could be tremendously expedited through continued government support and handholding of businesses during this crisis.

Over half of the survey respondents stated that the weakness in domestic demand is likely to be the topmost risk to business confidence in the next six months. Nearly 30 per cent of the respondents feel that business activity may return to pre-pandemic levels by Q1 FY22. It added ‘With regards to the general economic prospects, more than third of the respondents (35 per cent) foresee a contraction higher than 4 per cent in India's GDP in the financial year 2020-21 as the significant setback to economic growth has been further aggravated by state-imposed lockdowns to curb local outbreaks’. Besides, it said, there are still many ad hoc restrictions being imposed by the states which are an impediment to the unlock process.

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