Indian economy poised to recover at fast pace, reach pre-Covid-19 levels by end of year: Finance Ministry

05 Nov 2020 Evaluate

The Finance Ministry in its monthly report has said that Indian economy is poised to recover at a fast pace and reach pre-Covid-19 levels by the end of the year, but also cautioned about the possibility of ‘fatigue with social distancing norms’ triggering a second wave of coronavirus infections. The report for October said the sustained surge of activity levels in India, itself, is a reflection of a relatively more manageable pandemic situation in the country as compared to advanced nations.

it said 'a steady contraction of active Covid-19 cases and a low case fatality rate has instilled measured optimism in India that the worst is behind us'. At the same time, a second wave of the pandemic in advanced nations is a grim reminder of how reality hits back when caution is compromised. It added that ‘From a trickle in not so distant past to now a sea of humanity coming out on the streets, the people of India have embraced the new normal where self-protection is inseparable from economic activity’.

The report further said the continuous improvement in forward-looking RBI indices of consumption and business sentiment for the next year augur hope of a strong economic rebound. It said this is also corroborated by IMF's October 2020 projection of 8.8 per cent real GDP growth of India in FY 2021-22, highest globally. Pointing to the movement of high frequency indicators, the report said October numbers clearly indicate broad-based resurgence of economic activity, notably in healthy kharif output, power consumption, rail freight, auto sales, vehicle registrations, highway toll collections, e-way bills, rebound in GST collections and record digital transactions. Rural consumption has stayed strong, in part helped by sustained MSP (Minimum Support Price) procurement of food grains by government at higher prices.

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