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CV volumes to contract 25-28% in FY21: Icra

05 Nov 2020 Evaluate

Ratings agency Icra has said Commercial vehicles (CV) volumes are expected to shrink 25-28 per cent this fiscal (FY21) amid multiple headwinds along with the pandemic impact, and the outlook for the sector remains negative on the back of continuing challenge. In the previous fiscal, CV domestic volumes stood at 7,17,688 units as against an all-time high of 10,07,311 vehicles in 2018-19.

The ratings agency said it expects the volumes in FY21 to contract by 25-28 per cent, which would bring industry volumes down to the lowest levels in more than a decade. It conducted an extensive survey, covering 26 CV dealers from 11 states in October to gauge the trends at the ground level and to understand the current challenges of the sector.

Icra Vice President Shamsher Dewan said the domestic CV segment was already in the midst of several headwinds in FY20 and witnessed a steep volume contraction of 29 per cent. Dewan added the industry had been expecting the down-cycle to extend into the current fiscal as well, as increased vehicle prices post transition to new emission norms (BS-VI) would have added to the existing plethora of challenges. However, the extent of the contraction has been worse than expected, on account of the challenges brought about by the pandemic.

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