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Domestic air passenger traffic likely to return to pre-COVID-19 level by FY23: ICRA

02 Mar 2021 Evaluate

Rating agency ICRA in its latest report has said that domestic air passenger traffic is likely to return to the pre-COVID-19 level by the financial year 2022-23 and international by 2023-24. It expects passenger traffic to grow around 133 percent in 2021-22 and 14 percent in 2022-23 after an expected contraction of 63 percent in 2020-21. But, it said there could be a delay in the commercialisation of expanded capacity by 9-12 months.

According to the report, domestic passenger traffic has reached around 61 percent and international passenger traffic at 23 percent of the pre-COVID-19 level in January 2021. It also said the cargo volumes are likely to grow around 36 percent in 2021-22 and 6 percent in 2022-23 after a 25 percent contraction this fiscal, reaching pre-COVID-19 levels in 2021-22. It added that the aircraft traffic in the April-January period of 2020-21 was lower by 60 per cent y-o-y, while the passenger traffic was down by 72 per cent over the year-ago period.

The ratings agency further said planned capital expenditure (capex) of major airports was around Rs 77,000 crore during 2020-24 prior to pandemic. However, it said the slower project execution and the significant decline in the traffic and the consequent revenues and cash flows resulted in the companies to preserve cash and defer the capex.

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