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India’s GDP growth likely to be around 8.1% in Q2FY22: SBI Report

23 Nov 2021 Evaluate

SBI in its latest research report, Ecowrap, has said that the country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth is likely to be around 8.1 per cent in the second quarter of the current financial year (Q2FY22). As per SBI's Nowcasting Model, the full year (FY22) GDP growth is now revised upwards to 9.3-9.6 per cent from its earlier estimate of 8.5-9 per cent. It added that in the first quarter of FY 22, the economy grew 20.1 per cent. It highlighted that the projected 8.1 per cent growth rate in Q2 FY22 is the highest growth across all economies.

As per the report, the average GDP growth of 28 selected economies has decelerated to 4.5 per cent in Q3 (2021) as against 12.1 per cent. Also at an annual rate of 9.3-9.6 per cent, the country's real GDP growth would now be 1.5-1.7 per cent higher than the pre-pandemic level of FY20. On November 19, Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced the government will repeal the three farm laws. He also said that a committee will be set up to decide on matters, including promotion of zero budgeting farming, scientifically change the crop pattern keeping in mind the changing requirements of the country and make MSP (Minimum Support Price) more effective and transparent. The report also said that five agricultural reforms that could act as enablers even without these bills.

The report said ‘First, instead of MSP as a price guarantee that farmers are demanding, the government could insert a quantity guarantee clause for a minimum period of five years that procurement to production percentage of crops (being currently procured) should at least be equal to last year percentage’. It also suggested exploring converting the MSP to Floor Price of auction on the National Agriculture Market (eNAM). Further, the report said that efforts must continue to strengthen APMC market infrastructure and establish a contract farming institution in India that will have the exclusive right to oversee price discovery in contract farming. It also proposed ensuring a symmetric procurement across states. It also proposed ensuring a symmetric procurement across states.

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