Bond yields recede after January Inflation cools down to 4 year low

14 Feb 2013 Evaluate

Pre WPI data Scenario:

Bond yields were treading a bit higher as traders awaited inflation data for immediate cues. Street expected India's main inflation gauge, to rise an annual 7 percent, slower than an annual rise of 7.18 percent in December.

On the global front, Prices of US Treasuries slid on Wednesday after a tepid sale of 10-year debt, with yields testing key technical levels. Meanwhile, Brent crude was steady near $118 per barrel on Thursday after positive euro zone data, although a subdued demand outlook by the International Energy Agency (IEA) may weigh on prices.

Back home, the yields on 10-year 8.79% - 2021 bonds were trading 1 basis point higher at 7.85% from its previous close of 7.84% on Wednesday.

The benchmark five-year interest rate swaps were trading 1 basis point higher at 7.28% from its previous close of 7.27% on Wednesday.

Post WPI data Scenario:

Bond yields edged lower after the release of WPI data, which in a positive surprise cooled down to four year low at 6.62% (Provisional) for the month of January, 2013 as compared to 7.18% for December and 7.23% during the corresponding month of the previous year.

The yields on 10-year 8.79% - 2021 bonds receded by 3 basis points to 7.81% from its previous close of 7.84% on Wednesday.

The Government of India have announced the sale (re-issue) of three dated securities for Rs 12,000 crore (i) “8.12 percent Government Stock 2020” for a notified amount of Rs 3,000 crore (nominal) through price based auction; (ii) “8.20 percent Government Stock 2025” for a notified amount of Rs 6,000 crore (nominal) through price based auction; and (iii) “8.30 percent Government Stock 2042” for a notified amount of Rs 3,000 crore (nominal) through price based auction. The auctions will be conducted using multiple price method. The auctions will be conducted by the Reserve Bank of India, Fort, Mumbai on February 15, 2013 (Friday).

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