Growth in India set to decline from 6.8% in 2022 to 6.1% in 2023: IMF

31 Jan 2023 Evaluate

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) in its January update of World Economic Outlook stated that growth in India is set to decline from 6.8 percent in 2022 to 6.1 percent in 2023 before picking up to 6.8 percent in 2024, with resilient domestic demand despite external headwinds. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Chief Economist and Director, Research Department of the IMF said ‘our growth projections actually for India are unchanged from our October Outlook. We have 6.8 percent growth for this current fiscal year, which runs until March, and then we're expecting some slowdown to 6.1 percent in fiscal year 2023. And that is largely driven by external factors’.

As per the World Economic Outlook, the global growth is projected to fall from an estimated 3.4 percent in 2022 to 2.9 percent in 2023, then rise to 3.1 percent in 2024. It noted that growth in emerging and developing Asia is expected to rise in 2023 and 2024 to 5.3 percent and 5.2 percent, respectively, after the deeper-than-expected slowdown in 2022 to 4.3 percent attributable to China's economy. Growth in China is projected to rise to 5.2 percent in 2023, reflecting rapidly improving mobility, and to fall to 4.5 percent in 2024 before settling at below 4 percent over the medium term amid declining business dynamism and slow progress on structural reforms.

Gourinchas said ‘overall, I want to point out that emerging market economies on the whole and developing economies seem to be already on their way up. We have a slight increase in growth for the region from 3.9 percent in 2022 to 4 percent in 2023’. He said ‘another relevant point here is that if we look at both China and India together, they account for about 50 percent of world growth in 2023. So a very significant contribution’. He said ‘I want to say, we had a positive view on India in our October forecast. That positive view is largely unchanged’. He further noted that India remains a bright spot, and added that together with China, it will account for half of global growth this year, versus just a 10th for the US and euro area combined.

© 2025 The Alchemists Ark Pvt. Ltd. All rights reserved. MoneyWorks4Me ® is a registered trademark of The Alchemists Ark Pvt. Ltd.

×