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S&P keeps India’s GDP growth forecast unchanged at 6% in FY24

28 Mar 2023 Evaluate

S&P Global Ratings has kept its forecast for India's Gross domestic product (GDP) growth unchanged at 6 per cent in the fiscal year starting April 1, before rising to 6.9 per cent in the following year. In the quarterly economic update for Asia-Pacific, S&P saw inflation rate easing to 5 per cent in 2023-24 fiscal, from 6.8 per cent in the current financial year.

The rating agency saw India's GDP likely growing by 7 per cent in the current financial year ending March 31 (2022-23), before slowing to 6 per cent in the next 2023-24 fiscal. India leads, with average growth of 7 per cent in 2024-2026. GDP is projected to rise to 6.9 per cent in the following two financial years -- 2024-25 and 2025-26 and rising to 7.1 per cent in 2026-27.

It further said in India, domestic demand has traditionally led the economy. But it has become more sensitive to the global cycle lately, in part due to rising commodity exports; and its year-on-year GDP growth slowed to 4.4 per cent in the fourth quarter (October-December 2022). It said pronounced core inflation in India suggests little slack in these economies.

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