Foodgrain production to dip by 3.5% to 250.1 MT in FY13

18 Mar 2013 Evaluate

The overall production of Foodgrains for 2012-13 is expected to dip by 3.5% to 250.1 million tonnes (MT), as per the monthly report compiled by Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE). This dip in production is due to estimated fall in kharif production following weak monsoon. The decline in production is estimated in food grains, oilseeds, sugarcane and fibres.

Though Rabi cultivation has picked up pace and is reported to be marginally higher than last year but it has failed to compensate for kharif losses. As of March 01, 2013, the acreage of rabi crops grew by 0.2% and stood at 630 lakh hectares. Compared to last year the cultivation of major rabi crops grew, except rice and wheat. The wheat cultivation declined marginally by 0.1% to 298.4 lakh hectares as of March 01, 2013 while rice cultivation during rabi has declined by 11.5% and stood at 28.9 lakh hectares so far.

On the other hand, the Agriculture Ministry's second advance estimate indicates a 2.9% growth in pulses production in FY’13. The Rabi cultivation of pulses rose marginally by 0.8% to 151.7 lakh hectares. Also, sowing of gram grew considerably by 5.6% to 95.2 lakh hectares. Similarly, coarse grains area grew by 5.4% and stood at 63.8 lakh hectares by March 01, 2013, however, an estimated fall in kharif output will offset the growth in the rabi season. The overall coarse grains production is likely to dip by 8.5% to 38.5 MT.

Among the non-food crops, sugarcane is likely to be the worst affected in 2012-13. The sugarcane output is expected to decline by 7.3% to 334.5 MT in FY’13, according to the second advance estimates. The production of major oilseeds is likely to dip by 1.1% to 29.5 MT this fiscal. The production of groundnuts, castor and sesame would fall because of lower kharif cultivation, according to the Agriculture Ministry. However, rapeseed and soybean production is expected to increase by 11.5% to 7.4 MT.

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