Fitch Ratings has reaffirmed India's Long-Term Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) at BBB- with a stable outlook. India's rating has remained unchanged at 'BBB-', the lowest investment grade, since 2006. It said India's economy remains resilient despite near-term pressures from the energy shock triggered by the West Asia crisis.
The ratings agency said ‘there are residual risks from uncertainty related to the U.S.-Iran conflict, given India's position as large net energy importer position, but we do not expect a durable risk to growth prospects.’ Fitch estimates India’s GDP will grow 6.4% in the current fiscal year (FY27). However, the growth is slower than the average 7.4% growth clocked over the past three years.
Fitch said a strengthening record of delivering macroeconomic stability and improving policy credibility should underpin continued robust growth and enhance economic resilience, despite near-term macroeconomic headwinds from the energy shock. It said high growth should also support a sustained improvement in structural credit metrics and increase the likelihood that government debt will trend down.
It further said India's external finances remain solid, with a low current account deficit (CAD), net external creditor position and still high forex reserves. Fitch forecasts a slight widening of the CAD to 1.4% of GDP in FY27 from 0.6% in FY26, from the energy shock.
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