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Markets likely to make negative start amid weak global cues

18 Aug 2026 Evaluate

Indian equity markets are likely to make a negative start on Tuesday amid weak cues from global markets. Sentiment may remain downbeat as oil prices continue to rise amid growing concerns over the prospects for a diplomatic resolution to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Additionally, some caution may persist as Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) turned net sellers, offloading equities worth Rs 2,535.10 crore on August 17, 2026.

Some of the key factors to be watched:

ICRA estimates India's GDP growth at four-quarter low of 7% in April-June: Rating agency ICRA has estimated India's GDP growth at a four-quarter low of 7 per cent in the April-June quarter of the current fiscal, sliding from 7.8 per cent in the March quarter of FY26, on a slower pace of expansion in the services sector.

Unemployment rate dips to 5.1% in July: Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS) conducted by the National Statistics Office (NSO) report showing Overall unemployment rate among persons aged 15 years and above declined to 5.1 per cent in July 2026 from 5.5 per cent in the previous month.

India widens export basket: The commerce ministry has facilitated a number of fresh agricultural and processed-food items in July that have found buyers in new overseas markets, underlining the country's widening export palette.

Govt to soon announce high-level panel on 'Banking for Viksit Bharat': Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said the government would soon constitute a high-level panel on 'Banking for Viksit Bharat' to draw up a blueprint to create lenders capable of meeting the financing needs of a developed India.

Govt clears 31 electronic component manufacturing proposals: The secretary in the IT ministry, S Krishnan said the government has cleared 31 fresh proposals under the electronics components manufacturing scheme, entailing investments of Rs 7,877 crore. 

Global front: The US markets ended lower on Monday, weighed down by persistent tensions in the Middle East and rising Treasury yields. Asian markets are trading mostly in red on Tuesday following the negative cues from Wall Street overnight.

Back home, Indian equity benchmarks ended lower on Monday as elevated crude oil prices and persistent uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran conflict weighed on investor sentiment. Brent crude rose nearly 1% to around $89 a barrel, adding to concerns over inflation and corporate margins. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 281.09 points or 0.36% to 77,728.16 and the CNX Nifty was down by 78.35 points or 0.32% to 24,287.65.  

Some of the important factors in trade: 

India’s current account deficit stands at $6.2 billion in June: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in its preliminary data has showed that India’s current account deficit stood at $6.2 billion in June from a surplus of $1.2 billion in the year-ago month. 

India's exports to FTA partner countries record robust growth in Q1FY27: The commerce ministry data has showed that India's exports to key free trade agreement (FTA) partner countries recorded robust growth in the first quarter of 2026-27 (Q1FY27), with shipments to Singapore and Sri Lanka more than doubling.

India’s manufacturing sector stands as pillar of self-reliance, progress: The government in its latest data report has showed that India’s manufacturing sector stands as a pillar of self-reliance and progress, now contributing about 16-17 percent of GDP and providing employment to over 27 million workers.

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