Why You Should Avoid the Happy Forgings IPO

About Happy Forgings Ltd

Happy Forgings – a top Indian producer of heavy forgings and precision parts, serves car and other equipment makers globally. It boasts a diverse portfolio for industries like autos, farm machinery, and wind turbines.

Industry

Forging is a manufacturing process involving the shaping of a metal using compressive, localized forces delivered through hammering, pressing, or rolling. These compressive forces are delivered with a hammer or die. Many automotive and non-automotive components are manufactured using the forging process. In automotive and truck applications, forged components are commonly found at points of shock and stress. Cars and trucks may contain more than 250 forgings, most of which are produced from carbon or alloy steel.

As of FY 2023, the automotive sector holds about 61.8% forged components market share within India. In terms of value, the automotive sector’s contribution to forged components was about US$ 3.6 billion in Fiscal 2023 and it is estimated to grow to US$ 5.4 billion in 2029 with a CAGR of 7.6%. The market is expected to grow to 38.7L MT (US$ 10.2 billion) by Fiscal 2029 with the rise in demand of automotive backed by a rise in the working population and an increase in per capita income.

India contributes to about 5% of global forged components exports. All-time high exports were registered in Fiscal 2023. India exports about US$ 1.5 billion worth of forged components primarily to North America and European regions each year Fiscal 2020 consistently. Exports vary from 21% to 25% of the total production volume in the country.

Business Model

Happy Forging is a manufacturer of complex and safety-critical, heavy forged, and high-precision machined components. Company through its vertically integrated operations, is engaged in engineering, process design, testing, manufacturing, and supply of a variety of components that are both margin accretive and value-additive.

Product Portfolio

Automotive Sector:

The company primarily caters to domestic and global original equipment manufacturers (“OEMs”) manufacturing commercial vehicles in the automotive sector.

Non-Automotive Sector:

In the non-automotive sector, the company caters to manufacturers of farm equipment, off-highway vehicles, and manufacturers of industrial equipment and machinery for oil and gas, power generation, railways, and wind turbine industries.

Customers:

The company’s customers include some of the leading Indian and global OEMs. It has strong and long-standing relationships with most of their customers. Some of the customers across the end-use industries it supplies to are as follows:

Financials

Peers

(T-Total capacity, F-Forging capacity, M-Machining capacity, C-Casting capacity.)

Objective of the issue

The Offer comprises a fresh issue of Equity Shares aggregating up to Rs. 400 Cr and an offer for sale of up to ~7.159 Cr Equity shares by the selling shareholders.

The Net Proceeds from the Fresh Issue will be utilized towards funding the following objects:

1. Purchase of equipment, plant and machinery;
2. Prepayment of all or a portion of certain outstanding borrowings availed by the Company
3. General corporate purposes.

Risk Factors

High Product Concentration Risk: The company relies heavily on revenue generated from the sale of crankshafts, which are not currently utilized in battery-electric vehicles.

Customer Concentration risk: Businesses depend on their top 10 customers and they don’t have a commitment on the part of their customers to purchase or place orders with the company. Because of this company may face pricing pressure from the customer.

Geographical Risk: All three manufacturing facilities of the company are located in Ludhiana, Punjab which exposes company operations to potential risks arising from local and regional factors such as adverse social and political events, weather conditions, and natural disasters.

Management

Paritosh Kumar is the Chairman and Managing Director of the Company. He holds a bachelor’s degree in arts from S.C. Dhawan Government College, Ludhiana, Panjab University. He has been associated with the company since incorporation and accordingly has over 44 years of experience in the industrial sector.

Ashish Garg is the Managing Director of the Company. He holds a bachelor’s degree in science (accounting and finance), and a master’s degree in science (manufacturing systems engineering) from the University of Warwick, United Kingdom. He has ~17 years of experience in the industrial sector.

Megha Garg is a full-time director of the Company. She holds a bachelor’s degree in science (economics) from the University of Nottingham, United Kingdom. She has ~8 years of experience in the industrial sector. She currently handles the online digital marketing of the Company.

Narinder Singh Juneja is the Chief Executive Officer and full-time director of the Company. He holds a post-diploma in mechanical engineering.

Happy Forgings Limited IPO Tentative Timetable:

IPO Activity	Date
IPO Open Date	Dec 19, 2023
IPO Close Date	Dec 21, 2023
Basis of Allotment Date	Dec 22, 2023
Refunds Initiation	Dec 26, 2023
A credit of Shares to Demat Account	Dec 26, 2023
IPO Listing Date	Dec 27, 2023

Retail Individual Investor IPO Lot Size:

Application	Lots	Shares	Amount
Minimum	1	17	₹ 14,450
Maximum	13	221	₹ 187,850

Happy Forgings Limited IPO FAQs:

When will the Happy Forgings Ltd IPO open?

Happy Forgings IPO will open for subscription on Tuesday, 19th December 2023, and closes on Thursday 21st December 2023.

What is the price band of Happy Forgings Ltd IPO?

The price band for Happy Forgings Ltd IPO is Rs. 808-850/share.

What is the lot size for the Happy Forgings Ltd IPO?

Retail investors can subscribe to the IPO minimum lot size is 17 shares, up to a maximum of 13 lots i.e. Rs. 1,87,850/-.

What is the issue size of Happy Forgings Ltd IPO?

The total issue size is ~ Rs. 1,008.59 Cr.

When will the basis of allotment be out?

Allotment will be finalized on December 22nd and refunds will be initiated by December 26th. Shares allotment will be credited in Demat accounts by December 26th.

What is the listing date of Inox India Ltd’s IPO?

The tentative listing date of the Happy Forgings IPO is December 27th, 2023.

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