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  3. Retail Inflation snaps three month easing trend at 8.31% in March

Retail Inflation snaps three month easing trend at 8.31% in March

16 Apr 2014 Evaluate

Questioning the assumptions that worst is over for Asia's third-largest economy, the provisional annual inflation rate based on all India general Consumer Price Index (CPI) (Combined) disappointed the street by accelerating to 8.31% from 25 months low level of 8.10% in February. However, in a bit of surprise, February Inflation was revised downwards to 8.03% v/s 8.10% earlier.

According to the data, CPI numbers of February 2014 for Rural, Urban and Combined stood at 139.7, 136.0 and 138.1 respectively. The corresponding provisional inflation rates for rural and urban areas for March 2014 stood at 8.89% and 7.51%, while inflation rates (final) for rural and urban areas for February 2014 stood at 8.43% and 7.55%respectively.

Food prices for consumers rose at 9.10% in last month from a year earlier, higher than February’s 8.57% rise. The Provisional annual inflation rates of February 2014 for Rural and Urban in respect of ‘food and beverages’ stood at 9.95% and 7.47% for month under review compared to 9.27% and 7.10% respectively in February, 2014. Additionally, Provisional annual inflation rates (Combined) for Fuel and light; Clothing, bedding and footwear stood at 6.29% and 9.03% respectively for the month of March. 

Offering a bit of relief, core consumer price index (CPI)  rose by 7.8% in March from a year earlier, easing from a 7.9% in February. This is a positive since core inflation for the past few months has been stuck at around 8 per cent, a level Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) chief Raghuram Rajan deems uncomfortably high.

However, latest reading adds to woes of policy makers, which are struggling with sluggish economic growth on one hand and higher inflation on the other. India has been battling a prolonged spell of high inflation and low growth. While economic growth has almost halved to below 5 percent for the past two years, the worst slowdown for the South Asian nation since the 1980s.

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