Rice exports to reach 7 million tonnes in 2011-12: CRISIL

21 Dec 2011 Evaluate

According to the global credit ratings agency CRISIL, India’s rice exports are set to register a three-fold increase at 7 million tonnes in 2011-12 on growing output and weak production outlook in major exporting countries.

The agency estimates India's share in global rice trade to triple to 21% in 2011-12 from 7% in 2010-11. It said, ‘we expect India's rice exports to reach around 7 million tonnes in 2011-12, up from 2.2 million tonnes in 2010-11.’

The better monsoon across rice cultivating states is expected to further help the country's rice production to reach 100 million tonnes in 2011-12, up 6% over the previous year. According to the agriculture ministry, India produced 95.32 million tonnes of rice in 2010-11 crop year (July-June) and the government has set a target of producing 102 million tonnes of the essential food crop in 2011-12.

The move to lift the ban on rice exports has come at a great time and could translate into additional $2 billion in export revenue. Further, the agency said, an expected decline in rice output in leading rice exporting nations such as Thailand, Vietnam and Pakistan also favoured Indian exporters. ‘Rice production in Thailand, the largest exporter, is expected to decline in 2011-12 due to a damaged crop following floods.’

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