Industry body Assocham in its latest report has stated that about 5 percent deficit rains due to possible El Nino factor could impact Indian economic growth by 1.75 percent (Rs 1,80,000 crore) in the current fiscal year. The report highlighted that as about 60 per cent of net sown area of the country is rain-fed, the deficiency in rains could have a significant bearing on India’s agriculture sector and will raise food inflation in the country. Besides, below normal rains can also affect lakhs of unskilled jobs in India. Agriculture sector represent around 15 percent share in the country GDP and provides employment to large number of people in the country.
Assocham report highlighted that India must have good agricultural performance, as a rise in farm sector is estimated to lift demand for industrial goods and services. It mentioned that about 30 per cent of the manufacturing sector is agriculture-based and a bumper crop ensures the supply of raw material for industry at relatively lower prices.
India is expected to witness below normal monsoon this year with met department forecasting 95 per cent rainfall because of the El-Nino effect. Meanwhile, the industry body has submitted a report to government which suggests a 12-point strategy in order to contain drought-like situation in country. Industry chamber stated that government must expand the farm insurance cover, advise financial institutions to settle crop insurance claims and distribute high quality seeds of alternate crops in drought-hit areas without delay. Further, Assocham suggested the government to bring down the cereal inflation by liquidating the extra stock and keep minimum support price (MSP) attractive for alternative crops to be cultivated in drought-hit areas. Moreover, Assocham also recommended measures like scrapping of the APMC Act, fuel subsidy to farmers to protect standing crops and free flow of agriculture goods across states to bridge demand- supply gap among others.
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