The industry body Ficci’s latest survey has highlighted that the growth in manufacturing sector is expected to moderate during the first quarter of the current fiscal due to weak domestic demand and slowdown in global demand for Indian products. The survey indicated that even with sluggish domestic demand, the exports outlook for sector too seems to be weakening, as a result of which manufacturing growth is likely to decline in Q1FY15.
The survey noted that out of 352 units, which participated in the survey, only 36 percent have reported higher order books for April-June FY15. The proportion of respondents expecting higher exports in the Q1 FY15 has fallen to 36 percent as against 58 percent in the Q4 FY14. Out of the 14 manufacturing sectors, five industries such as Automotive, Capital Goods, Machine Tools, Cement and Steel & Metals are likely to witness low growth of less than 5 percent. The Ficci’s survey further added that only three sectors, leather, chemicals and ceramics are expected to have a strong growth of over 10 percent in Q1 FY15 and rest are likely to witness moderate growth.
The output of manufacturing sector, which constitutes 75.52% in the IIP index, declined 1.2 percent in March against growth of 4.3 percent a year earlier. During the April-March period of 2013-14, the sector’s output contracted 0.8 percent compared with 1.3 percent growth previously. The sector’s output was mainly impacted by weak demand as Indian economy is struggling with slowdown. Indian economy’s growth slowed down to a decade low at 4.5 percent in FY13 and 4.6 percent during the first three quarter of FY14.
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