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India's coffee production in FY12 season to decline by 10%

20 Jun 2011 Evaluate

India's coffee production may decline by about 10% in FY12 season beginning October due to sporadic rains early this year. According to the latest Coffee Board data, production of the brew in the FY11 period is estimated at 2.99 lakh tonne. A combination of untimely, insufficient, patchy and localized rain that was not uniformly distributed has resulted in an Arabica blossom well below the potential.

Similarly in the case of Robusta with a severe constraint on water resources and availability of power, several plantations could not cover their normal irrigation schedules, which will affect the productivity. Also as Robusta is more sensitive to drought, delay in rainfall beyond the last week of March has affected the fruit setting. All this has led to multiple and sporadic blossoms and would result in a yield well below the harvested crop.

In the FY11 coffee year, India had a low Arabica crop and this year there are expectations of a better harvest of around 90,000 tonne. However, with patchy blossom rain now the crop forecast is estimated at 80,000-90,000 tonne. Robusta crop in the FY11 period was good and this year the output of the brew will be lower, but with insufficient blossom rains and irrigation problems it could be around 1,80,000 tonne.

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