Factory output growth at 7-month low of 6.3% in April

13 Jun 2011 Evaluate

Bearing the brunt of high interest rates and rising input prices, industrial growth declined to its lowest in seven months at 6.3 per cent in April on a newly-structured index. Though manufacturing has less weightage in the new index, it was mainly responsible for the poor show. The government also issued the data under the old series, with 1993-94 as the base year, which showed industrial growth fell to 4.4 per cent from 7.8 per cent in March. Barring March, the growth has been under five per cent since November 2010.

On the new Index of Industrial Production (IIP) series, with 2004-05 as the base year, manufacturing growth halved to 6.9 per cent from 14.4 per cent a year ago. Capital goods output, which indicates future of industrial growth expanded by 14.5 per cent as compared to 35.5 per cent in the year-ago period. Growth in consumer goods output slumped to 2.9 per cent from 13.8 per cent, while intermediate goods output grew 3.4 per cent against 11.9 per cent.

Whether declining industrial growth will prompt the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to halt its rate hiking spree at its monetary review next week, policy rates may still be raised, but the central bank may ponder over such a move later. RBI has raised repo and reverse repo rates nine times since early 2010 to contain inflation, which stood at 8.66 per cent in April.
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