Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee has said that the overall inflation would drop to 6% by March end. The statement of the FM came in backdrop of weekly food inflation declining well below one percent, to the lowest level since April 2006. The latest data from the government showed that food inflation stood at 0.42 per cent as on December 17. Food inflation numbers have been moderating every week since early November when it stood at double-digit.
Pranab Mukherjee said that 'If this trend continues then you will have (fiscal) year-end (headline) inflation around 6%... But it cannot be lower than 6% because inflationary pressure was higher in weeks before'.
The Finance Minister's projection of 6 per cent inflation by year-end is well below the 7 per cent forecast made by the Reserve Bank of india (RBI) which has projected it to fall to 7% by March 2012. RBI has hiked interest rates 13 times since March, 2010, to tame demand and curb inflation. But in a policy shift in its Mid Quarter Policy Review earlier this month, RBI stopped further hikes and hinted that the rate may be cut in case inflation moderates.
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