Showing an indication of economic recovery, activity in Indian services sector, which represents around 60% of Indian GDP, witnessed a solid rate of expansion in the month of June on the back of stronger new business inflows and better economic conditions. The HSBC services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), based on the survey of around 350 private service sector companies, rose to 17-month high at 54.4 in June from 50.2 in May, above the crucial 50 mark for the second consecutive month that separates growth from contraction. Output expanded in four of the six monitored categories with the fastest increase witnessed in the Post & Telecommunication and Renting Business Activities sectors. Indicating further expansion in business activity overall, the HSBC India Composite Output Index, which measures activity in both the manufacturing and services sector, increased from 50.7 in May to 53.8 in the month of June.
The HSBC survey indicated that new orders increased for the second consecutive month to 54.3 in June driven by improved demand and the pace of new work expansion was quickest since February 2013. Further, backlogs of work at service providers were accumulated at the sharpest pace in the survey history, indicating robust demand growth and delayed payment from clients. However, the survey signaled a steady inflation reading with input costs across the sector rose in the reported month on account of high prices of fuel. The rate of cost inflation was strongest in five months but below the long-run series trend. Accordingly, services firms passed increased cost burden to consumers, suggesting consumer price inflation could rise in coming months.
Employment level in services sector increased at a marginal pace with the index measuring workforce numbers registering only fractionally above the crucial 50 threshold in June. Indian services companies also maintained their positive outlook for output growth over the next 12 months on the back of supportive factors such as planned increases in marketing budgets, forecasts of stronger demand and ongoing improvements in India’s economy. Referring to Indian economy outlook, the survey noted that faster reforms due to political stability are likely to provide impetus to Indian economy.
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