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Bond yields ebb on hopes of non-populist, fiscally prudent budget

10 Jul 2014 Evaluate

Bond yields edged lower on hopes that Finance Minister Arun Jaitley's maiden budget will be non-populist and fiscally prudent. Jaitley, who is not a hard-core economist, is expected to pursue the path of fiscal prudence and not sacrifice it at the altar of populism. Much as economic survey suggests, the government is expected to adopt a three-pronged strategy of containing inflation, pushing tax and expenditure reforms and legal and regulatory frameworks for market economy for achieving 7-8% in coming years. Meanwhile, the yields also fell tailing the overnight drop of US treasury yields and lower brent crude.

On the global front, U.S. Treasuries prices rose on Wednesday as the Federal Reserve acknowledged the recent strengthening in the U.S. economy in the minutes of its June meeting but suggested it was unlikely to raise policy rates until the second half of 2015. Meanwhile, brent crude edged down towards $108 a barrel on Thursday, extending its longest losing streak in four years, as weak gasoline demand in the United States offset a rise in crude imports in China.

Back home, the yields on new 10 year Government Stock 2023 were trading lower by 1 basis point at 8.72% from its previous close of 8.73% on Wednesday

The benchmark five-year interest rate swaps were trading 1 basis point lower at 7.86% from its previous close of 7.87% on Wednesday.

The Government of India would announce the sale of four dated securities for Rs 15,000 crore on July 11, 2014, including (i) 8.27% Government Stock 2020 for a notified amount of Rs 3000 crore, (ii) 8.83% Government Stock 2023 for a notified amount of Rs 7000 crore, (iii) 8.32% Government Stock 2032 for a notified amount of Rs 2000 crore and lastly (iv) 8.30% Government Stock 2042 for a notified amount of Rs 3000 crore respectively.

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