Bond yields fall on rate cut hopes after PM comments, OMO results

09 Jan 2012 Evaluate

Bond yields fell sharply as rate cut hopes gathered steam after the Prime Minister said that economic growth would be lower than the earlier government forecast. Traders’ sentiment was also boosted by a successful buyback, which would help boost liquidity and a bullish Rs 14,000 crore auction, which reassured appetite for government paper. Further, with the monetary policy review on January 24, dealers are now awaiting two crucial data prints - November factory output, due on January 12 and the headline inflation number for December, scheduled for release on January 16 - for possible cues on the likely central bank move. 

On the global front, US Treasuries prices rose on Friday as a choppy stock market and remarks from top Federal Reserve officials calling for more monetary stimulus fueled safe-haven bids for government debt ahead of next week's $66 billion in coupon supply. While, US crude oil futures fell in early Asian trade on Monday as a stronger US dollar made the dollar-denominated asset costlier, but the fall was capped by supply concerns after Iran's threat to shut a key oil-shipping route.  

The yields on 10-year benchmark 8.79% - 2021 bonds were trading at 8.16% down from its previous close of 8.22% on Friday.

The benchmark five-year interest rate swaps were down by 4 basis points at 7.0% from its previous close.

The Reserve Bank of India has announced the auction of 91-day and 364-day Government of India Treasury Bills for notified amount of Rs 6,000 crore and Rs 4, 000 crore respectively. The auction will be conducted on January 11, 2012 using 'Multiple Price Auction' method.

Meanwhile, Ten State Governments have announced the sale of their 10-year State Development Loans (SDLs) for an aggregate amount of Rs 9,167.000 crore (face value) through yield based auction using multiple price auction method. The auction will be conducted by the RBI at Mumbai on January 10, 2012 (Tuesday).

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