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  3. GDP to improve to 5.2% in 2014: Moody's

GDP to improve to 5.2% in 2014: Moody's

11 Sep 2014 Evaluate

In an encouraging development for the economy, Rating agency Moody's, in its report titled 'India outlook: Prospects brighten', underscored the downside risks to the economy have receded, while those of prospects brightened and pegged growth rate to accelerate to 5.2% in 2014 and further to 6.5% by end of 2015.

India's economic growth accelerated to 5.7% in April-June quarter, higher than 4.7% in the same quarter of previous fiscal. The economy grew by sub-5% in 2012-13 and 2013-14. Presently, government expects growth in current fiscal to be between 5.4-5.9%.

According to the global rating agency, the downside risk of the economy has receded around fiscal deficit, but inflation remains elevated. However, fiscal deficit during the first four months of the current fiscal breached 60% of full year’s target, raising concerns for the government, which aims to bring it down to 4.1% by the end of the financial year. Meanwhile, the annual inflation based on consumer price index rose to 7.96% in July from 7.46 percent in the month before.

Meanwhile, commenting on that Prime Minister Narendra Modi's first 100 days in office, the rating agency in its report highlighted that these first 100 days have been relatively uneventful, with no major policy developments and an interim budget that fell well short of expectations. However, the agency also added that signs have been promising and it was unlikely that Modi’s government will resist the mistakes of his predecessor.

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