Bond yields rise on better-than-expected factory data

12 Jan 2012 Evaluate

Bond yields rose after data showed that industrial output grew at an unexpectedly strong 5.9% in November from a year earlier. Though, the RBI's announcement of a debt buyback is likely to check any rise in yields.

India's annual industrial growth measured by index of industrial production (IIP) with an updated base of 2004-05, has surpassed all estimates to stage a sharp rebound to 5.9% pace in November. According to the data released by Central Statistics Office, the IIP for the Mining, Manufacturing and Electricity sectors for the month of November 2011 stood at 127.6, 177.8 and 145.6 respectively, with the corresponding growth rates of (-) 4.4%, 6.6% and 14.6% as compared to November 2010.

On the global front, US Treasuries advanced on Wednesday as concerns about Italy and upcoming debt auctions in the euro zone rekindled worries about the region, whetting investor appetite for safe-haven government debt. While, US crude futures rose on Thursday on worries about possible supply disruption sparked by a strike in Nigeria and mounting tension between Iran and the West, offsetting pressure from high inventory build and persisting euro zone debt woes.

The yields on 10-year benchmark 8.79% - 2021 bonds were trading at 8.25% up from its previous close on Wednesday.

The benchmark five-year interest rate swaps was up at 7.20% from its previous close.

The Government of India have announced the sale (re-issue) of three dated securities for Rs 14,000 crore (i) “New 8 year Security (GS2020) for a notified amount of Rs 4,000 crore (nominal) through yield based auction, (ii) “9.15 percent Government Stock 2024” for a notified amount of Rs 6,000 crore (nominal) through price based auction and (iii) “8.97 percent Government Stock 2030” for a notified amount of Rs 4,000 crore (nominal) through price based auction. The auctions will be conducted using uniform price method. The auctions will be conducted by the Reserve Bank of India, Fort, Mumbai on January 13, 2012 (Friday).

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