Amid falling global crude oil prices, Finance Secretary Arvind Mayaram has asserted that declining crude oil price will have favourable implications for the country. However, there is no need to be over optimistic as winter demand and global economic uncertainty would put upward pressure on oil prices in coming future, Finance Secretary added.
Benchmark Brent crude has fallen to almost four-year low at around $82 per barrel on account of oversupply and low demand from major economies mainly China and the US. With international oil prices dropping to multi-year lows, government's oil subsidy bill is likely to be slashed by over 60 percent in the current fiscal which in turn will help bridging the fiscal deficit.
The government currently controls diesel, domestic LPG and kerosene and prices them at rates below cost. Under-recovery or revenue loss arising out of selling diesel, domestic cooking gas (LPG) and kerosene at prices lower than imported cost is estimated at Rs 86,080 crore for current fiscal which is lower than Rs 1,39,869 crore gross under-recovery last fiscal.
Diesel prices have been raised by up to 50 paisa a litre every month since January 2013. The hikes together with a sharp drop in global oil prices have helped wipe out the under-recovery or loss on diesel. Presently, oil firms in the country are making Rs 2.25-2.50 a litre profit on diesel, which should have been passed to consumers in form of a price cut but the same has been delayed due to assembly elections in states include Maharashtra and Haryana.
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