Buoyant over the improving macro-economic fundamentals of the country, World Bank has stated that Indian economy has come back of growth track and is likely to grow by 5.6% in FY15 followed by further acceleration to 6.4% and 7.0% in FY16 and FY17.
In its latest report titled 'India Development Update' the world bank highlighted that measures such as a national Goods and Services Tax (GST), accompanied by a dismantling of inter-state check posts, can be transformational and significantly improve the domestic and international competitiveness of Indian manufacturing firms. Simply halve the delays due to road blocks, tolls and other stoppages could cut freight times by 20-30% and logistics costs by 30-40%, the report added. Road infrastructure alone can boost the competitiveness of India’s key manufacturing sectors by 3 to 4% of net sales, thereby helping India return to a high growth path and enabling large scale job creation. Besides, benign oil prices and stronger performance of Indian firms in the US would also support recovery. However, the World Bank noted that growth projection could face risk from external shocks including financial market disruptions arising out of changes in monetary policies globally, slower global growth and rising oil prices.
Over the past two fiscal years, Indian economic had been struggling with slowdown and its growth stayed below 5% for the second year in a row at 4.7% during FY14. The factors like high interest rate and stubborn inflation, low investments and slow execution of infrastructure projects have impacted country’s economy growth. However, the economy has shown signs of nascent recovery during the first quarter of current fiscal. India’s economy expanded at its fastest pace in more than two years by 5.7% during Q1FY15 as compared to 4.7% growth recorded in same quarter last year.
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