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Aggressive market share gaining tactics by new entrants may adversely impact banking sector's stability: S&P

29 Oct 2014 Evaluate

Global ratings agency Standard & Poor’s, in its Country Risk Assessment report on the Indian banking sector, underscored that country’s plan to grant new banking licences to companies could heighten the risk for banking sector as the aggressive market share gaining tactics, like underwriting standards or undercutting prices by new entrants may adversely impact the banking sector's stability.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), which has been cautiously opening up banking sector to companies, so far has awarded two new licences in April after a gap of 10 years in a country where only one household in two has access to formal banking services. Also, RBI is in the process of issuing fresh guidelines for companies applying for on-tap bank licences, or rolling applications that are assessed as they come in the current fiscal year ending March.

Further, the rating agency also highlighted the risk from prolonged weakness in banking’s asset quality, which could hurt the economic recovery. S&P expects gross non-performing loans to increase to 4.5% by the end of March 2015 from 4% in the end of March 2014. At the same time, the rating agency expects the pace of creation of stressed assets to slow over the next two to four quarters.

Further, the rating agency, unveiled that Indian banks scored better on potential economic risks compared with Brazil and China due to RBI’s conservative approach, stringent capital regulations under Basel III and moderate inflation-adjusted real estate prices. The report highlighted Indian banks’ large deposit base and ability to issue long-term senior bonds to fund infrastructure loans and a buoyant capital market would continue to support their funding profiles. It termed banking sector as largely stable despite being fragmented.

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