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India to witness better growth momentum: OECD

13 Nov 2014 Evaluate

The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) in its latest economic report has highlighted that India is the only major economy where the CLI points to a pick-up in growth momentum. The Composite leading indicators (CLI), designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend, for India inched up to 99.1 in September from 99 in August. Over past few months, the CLI for India has been witnessing a rising trend, indicating that economic growth is gaining momentum.

After two years of slowdown, Indian economy is showing signs of revival and expanded at its fastest pace in more than two years by 5.7% y-o-y during Q1FY15 as compared to 4.7% growth recorded in same quarter last year and 4.6% in Q4FY14. During April-September FY15, industrial production grew by 2.5% as compared to 0.5% in the same period of corresponding period.

On global front, the OECD highlighted that most of the major economies - developed and developing including the United States, Brazil, China and Russia, are expected to witness stable growth momentum. Further, the CLIs for the OECD area, a group of 33 major countries and 6 major non-member economies, continue to signal stable growth momentum. The CLIs for China and Brazil stood at 99.1 and 99.2 in September as compared to 98.9 and 99.2 in the previous month. Among developed countries, the CLI points to growth losing traction in Japan as CILs fell to 99.6 in month under review from 99.7 in August. 

Within the Euro Area, the CLI continues to point to a loss of growth momentum, with stronger signals of a slowdown for Germany and Italy. However the outlook continues to suggest stable growth momentum in France. The CLI for the United Kingdom indicates that growth may ease, albeit from relatively high levels.

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