October WPI inflation eases at five-year low of 1.77% v/s 2.38% in September

14 Nov 2014 Evaluate

Easing at lowest level since October 2009, India's main inflation gauge, based on monthly WPI, stood at 1.77% for the month of October as compared to 2.38% in the previous month and 7.24% during the corresponding month of the previous year. The reading was way below the street expectation of a 2% mark for the month under review. However, August inflation figures were revised upwards to 3.84% from 3.74% earlier. Meanwhile, build up inflation rate in the financial year so far was 2.00% compared to a build up rate of 6.23% in the corresponding period of the previous year. The reading, which was lowest in five years was mainly on the back of lower food and fuel inflation.

Fuel & Power index, which occupies 14.91% weight in the overall index, declined by 1.3% to 210.7 (provisional) from 213.4 (provisional) for the previous month due to lower price of furnace oil (4%), aviation turbine fuel (3%), petrol and bitumen (2% each) and kerosene and high speed diesel oil (1% each). However, the price of lubricants (1%) moved up.

Meanwhile, the index of Manufactured Products, which occupies the majority 64.97% weight in WPI index, declined by 0.5% to 174.2 (provisional) from 175.1 (provisional) in September. 

Additionally, Primary Articles index, which occupies 20.12% weight in the overall headline index, declined by 1.2% to 255.00 (provisional) from 258.2 (provisional) for the previous month. Out of the index, 'Food Articles’ group declined by 1.3% to 258.5 (provisional) from 261.8 in the previous month, while index for ‘Non-Food Articles’  group declined by 2.00% to 210.0 (provisional) from 214.3 for the previous month.

The latest data strengthens the case of RBI considering the case for rate cut in its upcoming monetary policy since central bank takes into consideration both Retail and WPI inflation while deciding upon its monetary policy. Earlier, in an encouraging development, India’s consumer price inflation eased at another all time low level since the launch of the new series of Consumer Price Index in 2012, at 5.52% in October as compared to 6.46% in September, helped by the lower prices of food and fuel. The numbers were way lower than street expectation of a figure above ‘5.60%’.

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