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Indirect tax collection is likely to miss target

27 Nov 2014 Evaluate

Indirect tax collection is likely to fall short of annual target by an estimated Rs 90,000 crore in the current fiscal, mainly because of subdued industrial activities. Indirect taxes include customs duty, central excise duty and service tax.

Indirect tax revenue during the month of October rose 7.5% to Rs 44,384 crore from Rs 41,290 crore in the corresponding month a year ago, indicating woes of economic slowdown might not be over yet. Customs collection grew 19.5% to Rs 16,800 crore in October on high imports and softening crude oil prices. Excise collection grew 1.4% to Rs 14,169 crore in October because of the slowdown in manufacturing sector even in the festival month. Services tax collection also rose 1.2% to Rs 13,415 crore.

Further, indirect tax collection so far this fiscal is 45.7% of the Budget estimate of Rs 6.23 lakh-crore. For the first seven months of FY15, customs revenue rose 7.5 % to Rs 1.06 lakh-crore, 52.6 % of the Rs 2.02 lakh-crore Budget estimate. Excise collection shrunk 1.2 % to Rs 88,330 crore, 43% of the Rs 2.05-lakh-crore estimate and, service tax collection was only 42% of the target Rs 2.16 lakh-crore.

Tax collection is the major source of revenue for the government. The Budget aims to mobilise Rs 6.23 lakh crore in FY15, which requires a growth rate of 25% over FY14. If indirect tax collection does not rise in coming months, with disinvestment and spectrum sales not forthcoming, it could become difficult for the government to contain the fiscal deficit at 4.1% of the gross domestic product (GDP) without big spending cuts. India’s fiscal deficit widened to 82.6% to cross Rs 4.38 lakh crore during April-September this fiscal as against Rs 5.31 trillion Budget Estimates for 2014-15. In the corresponding year-ago period, fiscal deficit was 76% of the budget estimate.

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