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Moody’s estimates the second quarter GDP growth at 5.3%

28 Nov 2014 Evaluate

A day ahead of the official announcement of the GDP data for the September quarter, global ratings agency Moody's in its report has said that country's GDP could grow at 5.3 per cent in the July-September quarter of the current fiscal, better than 4.8 per cent clocked in the year-ago period. It has further stated that the services sector would continue to expand strongly and drive GDP growth on the production side.

The report has stated that the economy's growth reached a recent nadir around the middle 2013 but has been steadily improving since then and the downside risks to growth diminished as the government shored up its fiscal position and external account. Moody’s has said that its estimate of GDP growing at 5.3 per cent in the September quarter is in line with the steady cyclical upswing of recent quarters. It has further stated that the general elections in May helped lift investor sentiment and business confidence, though it will take a while before this translates into better performance in the real economy.

Indian economy grew by 4.8 per cent in the second quarter of the last fiscal, while the growth rate was 4.7 per cent for the entire 2013-14 fiscal, and the finance ministry in the Economic Survey has predicted the GDP this year to be on the lower side of the 5.4-5.9 per cent. Even Reserve Bank of India, despite a likely recovery in Q2 and Q3, expects the full-year growth to be around 5.5 per cent.

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