Even as India’s economy is expected to expand at a weaker pace of 6.8% in calendar year (CY) 2012, against prior estimates of 8%, though the growth rate for Asia’s third largest economy in CY 2013 is forecasted to pick up momentum steadily and clock growth rates of around 9.5%, according to Ernst & Young (E&Y), a global audit and consulting firm. In its previous Rapid-Growth Markets Forecast (RGMF) released in October 2011, the global audit and consulting firm had projected India’s economic growth at 8% for CY 2012.
The recent RGMF advocates that despite the moderation, India's medium to long term growth outlook remains in place for a swift resurgence as improvement in both domestic and external demand will lead to the improvement in growth. Amid expectations of an improvement in global economic environment, fading liquidity tightening woes, increase in investment and rebound in exports, the GDP growth rate is expected to accelerate strongly in CY13 at 9.5%.
Underscoring the fact that the rapid-growth markets (RGMs) collectively are likely to witness a growth rate of around 5.3% this year, E&Y appeared confident that RGMs’ robust economic performance will not be derailed by slackening demand, turbulent and volatile markets and credit liquidity problems in Europe, though it may have had some impact in the recent past. Meanwhile, the E&Y report also expects the Europe to dip into mild recession in H1 2012 while the US to register modest growth in 2012.
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