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Q2 CAD widens to 2.1% of GDP on higher gold imports

09 Dec 2014 Evaluate

India's Current Account Deficit (CAD) for the second quarter of the current financial year widened to $10.1 billion against $5.2 billion on Y-o-Y basis, which translates into 2.1% of GDP against 1.2% in the same quarter the previous year. Despite the expansion, CAD is well within RBI's comfort zone of 2.5% of GDP.

The deficit is not only higher on Y-o-Y basis, but also higher on sequential basis. CAD in the first quarter of the current financial year had been $7.8 billion and widened in reported quarter mainly on account of deceleration in export growth and an increase in gold imports.

While export growth slid to 4.9% in Q2 of 2014-15 from 11.9% on Y-o-Y basis, imports rose by 8.1% in Q2 FY15 as against a decline of 4.8% in the same quarter of the previous year, largely due to a sharp rise in gold imports. Trade deficit in Q2 rose to $38.56 billion against $34.6 billion in the preceding quarter.

However, net services receipts improved by 3.4% in Q2 as telecom, computer and IT services showed improvement from their level a year ago, net outflow on account of primary income (profit, dividend and interest) to $ 6.9 billion in Q2 was higher than Q2FY14 ($ 6.3 billion) as well as the preceding quarter ($6.7 billion).

The balance of payment stood at a surplus of $6.9 billion during July-September, a fourth consecutive quarter of surplus, although that was narrower than the $11.2 billion surplus in the previous quarter. On a BoP basis, there was a net accretion of $6.9 billion to India's foreign exchange reserves in Q2FY15 as against a drawdown of $10.4 billion in Q2FY14.

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