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India witnessing clear pick-up in growth momentum: OECD

09 Dec 2014 Evaluate

The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) in its latest economic report has highlighted that India is the only major economy where the CLI points to a clear pick-up in growth momentum. The Composite leading indicator (CLI), designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend, for India inched up to 99.6 in October from 99.4 in September. The CLI for India has been showing a rising trend over past few months, indicating that economic growth is gaining momentum. Earlier, in November, the OECD projected an average Indian economic growth at 6.7 percent over the 2015-19 period and highlighted that a further boost to economy would depend on reform plans of the government.

On global front, the OECD stated that the CLIs suggest that growth will continue to lose momentum in Europe while the outlook is for stable growth momentum in most other major economies and in the OECD area. In the Euro Area the CLI continues to indicate a loss of growth momentum, particularly in Germany and Italy, while Stable growth momentum, is expected for France.

Amongst other major economies, the CLIs continue to point to stable growth momentum in the United States, Canada, China and Brazil while tentative signs of a positive change in momentum are emerging in Japan. The CLIs for China and Brazil stood at 99.2 and 99.4 in October as compared to 99.1 and 99.3 in the previous month. The CLI for Russia points to growth tentatively losing momentum.

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