Global rating agency Moody's, in its latest report titled '2015 Outlook-Global Credit Conditions' has highlighted that Indian economy is likely to pick up pace in 2015 and grow in the range of 5-6%, on the back of robust domestic demand. Moody's noted that Indian economy has benefited from a strong domestic demand base and diversified export markets that give protection from the effects of a slowing Chinese economy and muted growth in the Euro zone and Japan.
Further, the rating agency added that employment and consumption are likely to increase in India and the fall in global commodity prices will help to lower high inflation in the country. It also projected that Indian companies would see improved cash flows owing to the acceleration in manufacturing activity. However, Moody's outlook remains negative on banking industry as it expects that high leverage in the corporate sector will inhibit any meaningful recovery in asset quality of banks.
After registering an average growth rate of 8% during FY08-FY12, Indian economic growth had slowed down to below 5% over the last two financial years. The factors like high interest rate and stubborn inflation, low investments and slow execution of infrastructure projects have impacted country’s economy growth. However, the domestic economy has shown signs of nascent recovery and expanded at 5.5% during first half of this fiscal as compared to 4.9% in the same period of previous fiscal.
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