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Aggressive bidding in coal auction to be credit negative for power companies: Crisil

19 Feb 2015 Evaluate

Amid the aggressive bidding by companies in the ongoing coal blocks auctions, which has made states, including Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand and West Bengal, richer by nearly Rs 60,000 crore from just 11 coal blocks sold so far, global rating agency Crisil has said that it can be credit negative, especially for the power sector.

The rating agency in a note said that “Participants at the ongoing e-auction of coal blocks for both regulated and unregulated sectors are facing difficult choices, as outcomes will redefine their cost structures and profitability in the short-term, even as they ensure fuel security and sourcing flexibility over the long term.”

It further warned that allocation of blocks will lead to a four-fold increase in captive coal availability to around 100 million tonne over the medium-term for the regulated power sector. Though, it will improve the plant load factors, but “aggressive bidding will be a credit negative.” It further said that the currently low plant load factors will improve, but the risk shifts to under-recovery in fuel cost, especially for developers with existing power purchase agreements.

Crisil also said that in the unregulated sector, steel and aluminium makers that win coal blocks will have a better handle on profitability than cement producers because coal accounts for a third of their production cost compared to 10-15 percent for the latter, the successful bidders will enhance backward integration of their projects and thereby improve business profile.

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