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RBI affirms the government’s fiscal consolidation path; cut repo rate by 25bps

04 Mar 2015 Evaluate

In a surprise move and prompt reaction to the Budget 2015-16, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has cut repo rate by 25 basis points or 0.25 percent to 7.5 percent, giving its affirmation to the fiscal consolidation measures announced by the government in the Budget.

Dr. Raghuram G Rajan in his statement has said that, while maintaining the interest rate stance in its sixth bi-monthly monetary policy statement of February 3 in the absence of new developments on inflation or on the fiscal outlook till then, the Reserve Bank indicated that it will keenly monitor the revision in the consumer price index (CPI) with regard to the path of inflation in 2015-16 as well as the Union Budget for 2015-16. Inflation in January 2015 at 5.1 per cent as measured by the new index was well within the target of 8 per cent for January 2015.

The RBI pointed that there are many important and valuable structural reforms embedded in this Budget, which will help improve supply over the medium term. In the short run, however, the postponement of fiscal consolidation to the 3 per cent target by one year will add to aggregate demand. At a time of accelerating economic recovery, this is, prima facie, a source for concern from the standpoint of aggregate demand management, especially with large borrowings intended for public sector enterprises. However, some factors mitigate the concern, the government has emphasized its desire to clean up legacy issues which gave a misleading picture of the true extent of fiscal rectitude, and has also moderated the optimism in its projections. To this extent, the true quantum of fiscal consolidation may be higher than in the headline numbers.

Further it said that given low capacity utilisation and still-weak indicators of production and credit off-take, it is appropriate for the Reserve Bank to be pre-emptive in its policy action to utilise available space for monetary accommodation. Consequently, it decided to reduce the policy repo rate under the liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) by 25 basis points from 7.75 per cent to 7.5 per cent with immediate effect; while keep the cash reserve ratio (CRR) of scheduled banks unchanged at 4.0 per cent of net demand and time liabilities (NDTL).

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RBI affirms the government’s fiscal consolidation path; cut repo rate by 25bps

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