Standard and Poor’s (S&P), in its report titled 'Several Factors Could Weigh On India's Current Stable Sovereign Rating In 2012', has said that certain challenges faced by the Indian economy are shifting India’s stable sovereign credit ratings towards negative. As per the report, high inflation, a weak government fiscal position, and slower economic growth have hurt investor confidence in the rupee, triggered a capital outflow, and weighed on the stable sovereign outlook on India in 2012. The European sovereign debt problems and the uncertain global financial environment could further put pressure on India.
According to Standard & Poor's credit analyst, India’s current unsolicited rating BBB-/Stable/A-3, has been challenged due to the political gridlock faced by the Indian government and the government's ability to implement measures to improve economic growth and fiscal prudence will be vital to boosting confidence in the Indian economy. Further, S&Ps stable outlook on the 'BBB-' long-term rating on India currently reflects their expectation of strong economic growth in the medium term and gradually improving fiscal performances. Inflation and political uncertainty, which could lead to higher government subsidies and stalled reform efforts, had been factored in.
S&P has further said that it does not expect to downgrade or revise the outlook on the long-term rating in the near future. However, the negative factors, combined with the government's weak policy formulation and implementation could threaten it.
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