International Monetary Fund (IMF) chief Christine Lagarde who is on a two days visit to India has termed Asia's third-largest economy as bright spot on the “cloudy global horizon” and said that the Indian economy is poised to overtake the combined GDP of Japan and Germany in the next four years on the back of recent policy reforms and improved business confidence in the country.
The IMF Managing Director further elaborated that by 2019, the economy will more than double in size compared to 2009. When adjusting for differences in purchase prices between economies, India's GDP will exceed that of Japan and Germany combined. She also said that Indian output will also exceed the combined output of the three next largest emerging market economies - Russia, Brazil, and Indonesia.
Lagarde said that much of the rapid economic expansion has to do with population growth, as more than 50 percent of India's population is at present below the age of 25, and more than 12 million people enter the labour market every year.She said that to make the Indian economy resilient, nimble and more supportive of growth, the fiscal policy should focus on further reform of the subsidy regime and implementation of the Goods and Services Tax.
Though, she welcomed the recent adoption of flexible inflation targeting, but warned that global financial market volatility arising from any monetary policy normalisation can hit India. IMF has also sought certain clarifications from the Indian authorities on the new GDP series even as it is confident about its veracity.
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