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OECD projects India to grow at 7.7 percent this year and 8 percent in 2016

19 Mar 2015 Evaluate

The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development’s (OECD), in its interim economic assessment report has said that India is poised to grow 7.7 percent this year and 8 percent in 2016. OECD further stated that India is now expected to be the fastest-growing major economy in 2015-16, overtaking China, which is anticipated to expand 7 percent this year as well as next year.

Earlier in November last year, OECD had projected Indian economy to expand 6.4 percent and 6.6 percent in 2015 and 2016, respectively. It said that part of latest relative improvement reflects significant revisions to past GDP data, which raise the base growth rate through 2014.

According to the Paris-based think tank, low oil prices and monetary easing are boosting growth in the world's major economies, but the near-term pace of expansion remains modest, with abnormally low inflation and interest rates pointing to risks of financial instability and said that Governments cannot rely solely on low inflation and easy monetary policy to consolidate recovery and boost employment.

OECD has also cautioned that maintaining rapid growth would be a challenge for India despite the strong current momentum. The report further noted that “With obstacles emerging to the adoption of growth- friendly structural reforms, maintaining rapid growth will pose a difficult challenge, notwithstanding the strong current momentum.” It also said that central banks would continue to drive recovery but warned against an exclusive reliance on monetary policy.

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