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Power producers may face under recovery of Rs 1350 crore post coal auction: Crisil Research

20 Mar 2015 Evaluate

Crisil Research, the research arm of the global credit rating agency, Crisil has come up with a report stating that the recent coal block auctions might have addressed some fuel supply issues, but private power producers with nearly 10,000 MW capacity may have to face under-recovery to the extent of 65 paise per unit because of aggressive bidding. The under recovery of 65 paise per unit will translate to a total under recovery of Rs 1350 crore in the next financial year.

In its report, Crisil Research has said that players who went for aggressive bidding could clock under-recovery of Rs 1,350 crore in FY16 because variable tariffs will not cover mining costs and production-linked payments to Government “The aggressive bids indicate the big premium on fuel security. Bid winners have agreed to forego, on average, mining costs of Rs 650 per tonne and pay an additional premium of Rs 400 per tonne to States in FY16.” To offset the resultant 65 paise per unit under-recovery in the variable tariff, recently commissioned or under-construction projects will require an average first-year fixed tariff of close to Rs 3.5 per unit.

Crisil further estimates that deficit or under-recovery could rise to more than Rs 4,500 crore once allotted coal blocks reach peak production. It said that around 22-25 GW of power projects-both operational and expected to be commissioned by 2016-17-are untied and will compete for new PPAs. For those power producers who are yet to sign PPAs, intense competition will make it difficult to pass on the high coal cost through the fixed cost option.

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