Upward revision in FY 2012 GDP growth expected: FM

07 Feb 2012 Evaluate

Reacting to the recently released national income estimates by Central Statistical Organisation (CSO), Finance Minister, Pranab Mukherjee has said that the numbers are a bit disappointing as compared to expectations but an upward revision in the GDP growth can be expected when the full data for year 2011-12 becomes available.

He further stated that though the numbers look disappointing due to the recent growth experience, they were not totally unexpected given the current global scenario and the slowdown in the domestic industrial sector in particular. He observed that the main reason for decline in the GDP is slowdown in industrial growth, in particular in investment growth. The negative growth in the mining sector along with slowdown in construction sector have also contributed to the decline.

Finance Minister is of the opinion that there have been some encouraging signs in the recent weeks on business sentiments, rupee exchange rate, moderation in headline inflation, possibility of a bumper rabi crop, and continued strong performance of the service sector which should help in recovering the growth momentum later in the fiscal and will reflect when actual numbers are released.

The CSO has recently released the advance estimates of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and related aggregates. The growth in GDP at factor cost during 2011-12, at 2004-05 prices, is estimated at 6.9% as compared to the growth rate of 8.4% in 2010-11. In terms of sectoral break-up, the GDP growth is estimated at 2.5% in agriculture, forestry and fishing sector, 3.9% in manufacturing and 9.4% in services sector.

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