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Growth in South Asia to accelerate driven by strong expansion in India: World Bank

15 Apr 2015 Evaluate

In its twice-a-year South Asia Economic Focus report, World Bank has said that driven by a strong expansion in India, coupled with favorable oil prices, economic growth in South Asia is expected to accelerate. The region is among the greatest global beneficiaries from cheap oil, as all countries in it are net oil importers.

The report has highlighted that given India's weight in regional Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the projections reflect to a large extent India’s expected growth acceleration, driven by business-oriented reforms and improved investor sentiment. The bank further said that in India, GDP growth is expected to accelerate to 7.5% in fiscal year 2015-16. It could reach 8% in FY 2017-18, on the back of significant acceleration of investment growth to 12% during FY2016-FY2018.

Talking about India, the report noted that India has already taken encouraging steps to decouple international oil prices from fiscal deficits and to introduce carbon taxation to address the negative externalities from the use of fossil fuels. The challenge will be to stay the course in the event of oil price hikes - something that may well happen in the medium term.

The report has projected steady increase in regional growth from 7% in 2015 to 7.6% by 2017 on grounds of strong consumption and increasing investment. It has added that the decline in oil prices has been reflected in the domestic prices of oil products to different extents across the region. Together with favorable food prices, cheaper oil has contributed to a rapid deceleration of inflation. In March 2013, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) of the region had increased by 7.3% year-on-year compared to 1.4% in March 2015, the report said.

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